Bachelor Peter the Pilot has a 4.5% chance of marrying someone his age

I’ve totally gone down the rabbit hole of numbers and ages and statistics and chances any particular bachelorette have of winning this season of The Bachelor. Peter the Pilot has already narrowed it down to 22 women (the season opened with 30 women at the mansion). Here’s what I’ve found working for or against the women so far…

Peter is 28 years old. Episode 1, there were 27 women younger than him. Two were his same age, and there’s 1 woman older than him (she’s 31).

Ages and chance of winning before episode 1 (30 women)…

20-25: 15 (50% chance of winning)

26-30: 14 (46.6% chance of winning)

30s: 1 (3.3% chance of winning)

20-27 (younger than Peter) : 27 (90% chance of winning)

28 (same age) : 2 (6.6% chance)

29-30s (older than Peter) : 1 (3.3% chance)

Ages and chance of winning before episode 2 (22 women)…

20-25: 12 (54.5% chance)

26-30: 9 (41% chance)

30s: 1 (4.5% chance)

20-27 (younger than Peter) : 20 (90.9% chance of winning, up nearly 1% since ep 1)

28 (same age) : 1 (4.5% chance of winning, down just over 2% since ep 1)

29-30s (older than Peter) : 1 (4.5% chance of winning, up 1.2% since ep 1)

Thanks for stopping by! If you have any guesses who might get the final rose, and how old she is, chime in with a comment below.

-Out of the Wilderness