A white woman has a 61% chance of winning The Bachelor

Episode 3 included a lot of drama and because of that, instead of 3 women, 4 women were sent home… for now. (spoiler alert! Alayah returns next week!)

At the conclusion of this episode, there are 8 white women still there, 4 black women, and 1 Asian. Here are the stats!

White – 8 (down 2 from last week)

Black – 4 (down 1 from last week)

Asian – 1 (down 1 from last week)

Chance of winning…

A black woman: 30.8% (up 1.5% since episode 2)

An Asian woman: 7.7% (down 4% since episode 2)

A white woman: 61.5% (up 3% since episode 2)

Among the white women there are 3 blondes, 4 brunettes, and still Lexie as the lone redhead. As a ginger, she has a 7.7% chance of winning it all. A brunette has a 31% of winning, and a blonde has a 23% chance of winning.

Thanks for stopping by!

-Out of the Wilderness

 

A redhead has a 6% of winning The Bachelor

Episode 2 is in the books and is it just me or did the Hannah B. thing come across as a setup? She and Peter acted like they were in such a tough spot after reconnecting in episode 1. Is Hannah B. back in his life? Should she join the other women as a contestant? Oh, the drama. Then in a matter of seconds, as if cued by a producer, Peter decides he can’t do this and Hannah’s out the door with a hug and a smile. I’m so skeptical about the genuineness of this part of the show. Anyway, Peter meets up with the women from the group date he was still currently on and they skip right to the “after party.”

Later the rose ceremony happens so here are the updated stats for the women still remaining after episode 2.

There are 5 black women, 2 Asian women, and 10 white women.

Chances of winning…

A black woman: 29.4% (up 2% since episode 1)

An Asian woman: 11.8% (up 2.5% since episode 1)

A white woman: 58.8% (down 5% since episode 1)

Among the 10 white women, there are 4 brunettes (2 less than last week), 5 blondes (2 less than last week), and 1 redhead (go Lexie!).

-Out of the Wilderness