Bachelor Peter the Pilot has a 4.5% chance of marrying someone his age

I’ve totally gone down the rabbit hole of numbers and ages and statistics and chances any particular bachelorette have of winning this season of The Bachelor. Peter the Pilot has already narrowed it down to 22 women (the season opened with 30 women at the mansion). Here’s what I’ve found working for or against the women so far…

Peter is 28 years old. Episode 1, there were 27 women younger than him. Two were his same age, and there’s 1 woman older than him (she’s 31).

Ages and chance of winning before episode 1 (30 women)…

20-25: 15 (50% chance of winning)

26-30: 14 (46.6% chance of winning)

30s: 1 (3.3% chance of winning)

20-27 (younger than Peter) : 27 (90% chance of winning)

28 (same age) : 2 (6.6% chance)

29-30s (older than Peter) : 1 (3.3% chance)


Ages and chance of winning before episode 2 (22 women)…

20-25: 12 (54.5% chance)

26-30: 9 (41% chance)

30s: 1 (4.5% chance)

20-27 (younger than Peter) : 20 (90.9% chance of winning, up nearly 1% since ep 1)

28 (same age) : 1 (4.5% chance of winning, down just over 2% since ep 1)

29-30s (older than Peter) : 1 (4.5% chance of winning, up 1.2% since ep 1)

Thanks for stopping by! If you have any guesses who might get the final rose, and how old she is, chime in with a comment below.

-Out of the Wilderness

A black woman has a 27% chance of winning The Bachelor (after episode 1)

Peter the Pilot started off with 30 women who all apparently think he’s the perfect man to marry, or at least date for a few weeks on national TV. Among the 30 competitors, there were 7 black women, 20 white, and 3 were Asian.

During episode 1, there was a rose ceremony where 8 women were sent home. With that in mind, here are the numbers and a few statistics on the women still on the show.

Black women: 6 (down from 7 in ep 1)

Asian women: 2 (down from 3 in ep 1)

White women: 14 (down from 20 in ep 1)

Of the white women, 6 are brunette, 7 are blonde, and 1 is a red head.

These numbers compute the following stats…

A white woman has a 63.6% chance of winning, down 3% since ep 1.

A black woman has a 27.3% chance of winning, up 4% since ep 1.

An Asian woman has a 9.1% chance of winning, down 0.9% since ep 1.

For statistics before episode 1 aired, click here.
-Out of the Wilderness

My word of the year, 2020

IMG_20200108_213324 copyI rarely pick just one word to be my theme for any given year, but 2020’s word just kind of happened. It all began around Christmastime last year and as the pot stirred, this word bubbled up to the top. I’m hoping it relates to my life in a few ways… work, relationships, and any other way I can’t even foresee right now.

Breakthrough.

Hoping and praying and begging and anticipating and living and loving and enjoying and remembering and putting all my eggs in this basket for 2020. Here’s to a great year of BREAKTHROUGH for me, for you, for your family, for my family, your friends, my friends, your enemies, my enemies, those we love and those we can barely tolerate… may it be a year of breakthrough in our relationships with each other, with the Lord, and with ourselves!

-Out of the Wilderness

Our bodies: the little space heaters that could!

You want to hear something crazy? Our human bodies are warm. Now before you laugh and think, “Ok, so what!” think about it… these complex, fragile-yet-durable bodies we live in are warm but not only that, we emit heat. I know that’s probably something we learned in elementary school, but that doesn’t make it any less fascinating. This body heat is why a room of people will get warm and you sometimes need to open a window or crack a door. It’s why we wear coats in the winter, to keep as much of our own heat close to our body.

I’m not a scientist so you’ll have to forgive me for that, but what is it in or on our bodies that produce heat? Well, a quick Google search shows that it comes from cells, organs, chemical reactions, etc. You can look it up too, if you want, but my point is this… the heat created inside our bodies somehow gives off warmth outside our bodies so others can feel it. It’s amazing.

So as I was pondering this not long ago, I wondered how an evolutionist would explain it. Wouldn’t a person or race of people who lives in a tropical climate eventually evolve away from this body heat characteristic? And perhaps folks in northern climates evolve into beings that produce more heat?

I believe in a supreme creator, God, and He’s the most amazing designer. The human body is mind-boggling in it’s complexity, and yet we go about our days thinking about a million other things. Have you ever thought about how we are waterproof? Water doesn’t just gush into us, or pour out of us… and yet we can sweat, and absorb water through our skin. My goodness. And don’t even get me started on how we can easily walk on two legs but what if we were dogs? I can’t imagine being able to manage 4 legs everywhere I go! But my dogs haven’t stepped in poop their entire lives.

Anyway, this whole heat thing is just another seemingly small detail and yet at the same time, affects a lot of things we do. Gee wiz, He’s thought of everything, hasn’t He?

-Out of the Wilderness

Wacky Wednesday: Chew On That!

Do you ever have those random thoughts that only come to you maybe once or twice a year? Well, it happened to me again so here was the thought:

I mostly chew food on the right side. When I was eating and noticed this, I tried the left and it just felt wild!

That’s all I got for you today, just thought it was important enough to share!

– Out of the Wilderness